Miljøprojekt nr. 1965, 2017

Effect Assessment of the Chemicals Initiatives 2014-2017


The Chemical Initiatives 2014-17 is structured in three main areas: Non-toxic products, international influence and circulating resources. The main area id further structured in 14 sub activities.

The study shows that the environmental and health benefits, that could be quantified, out weight the costs. The socioeconomic analysis point towards a net benefit of approximately 1 billion DKK in net present value over a period of 50 years. The sensitivity and uncertainty analysis performed, shows that the result is considered to be robust. As the effect assessment only include quantification of one out of 14 activities, the estimation of the net benefit is considered to be conservative. The real value is expected to be substantially higher. In relation to the qualitative analysis break even analysis has been performed, which shows that the activities only have to make marginal changes in order to pay off. In the analysis three types of activities have been defined, knowledge generation, information and regulation. The effects of the different activities differ. In the analysis primarily regulation has been quantified. Non-the-less the three types of activities should be seen as inter-correlated. In relation to information the report recommends to focus on behavior in order to assess the effects in the future. In relation to benefits from regulation, surveillance is seen as a precondition. The interviewed companies in the survey have not been able to quantify any effects. However, the qualitative observation support a positive net benefit.

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